Live prediction market odds for Dusan Lajovic vs. Lorenzo Sonego. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Dusan Lajovic vs. Lorenzo Sonego — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Dusan Lajovic leads the “Dusan Lajovic vs. Lorenzo Sonego” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Sonego at 43.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Dusan Lajovic vs. Lorenzo Sonego is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dusan Lajovic leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Sonego at 44%.
Dusan Lajovic currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Dusan Lajovic, Lorenzo Sonego at 44% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dusan Lajovic: 59¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Sonego: 43¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Dusan Lajovic will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dusan Lajovic wins the Sonego vs Lajovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sonego vs Lajovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Dusan Lajovic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Dusan Lajovic
57.5% avg
