Live prediction market odds for Emilio Nava vs. Jenson Brooksby. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Emilio Nava vs. Jenson Brooksby — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Emilio Nava leads the “Emilio Nava vs. Jenson Brooksby” event at 60.5% implied probability, followed by Jenson Brooksby at 40.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Emilio Nava vs. Jenson Brooksby is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Emilio Nava leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jenson Brooksby at 40%.
Emilio Nava currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Emilio Nava, Jenson Brooksby at 40% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Emilio Nava: 61¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Jenson Brooksby: 40¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Emilio Nava will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Emilio Nava
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Emilio Nava wins the Brooksby vs Nava professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Brooksby vs Nava professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Emilio Nava in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Brooksby” if Jenson Brooksby wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nava” if Emilio Nava wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
60.5% avg
