Live prediction market odds for Ethan Quinn vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-23
Ethan Quinn vs. Fabian Marozsan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Fabian Marozsan leads the “Ethan Quinn vs. Fabian Marozsan” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Ethan Quinn at 44.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Ethan Quinn vs. Fabian Marozsan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fabian Marozsan leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ethan Quinn at 44%.
Fabian Marozsan currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Fabian Marozsan, Ethan Quinn at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fabian Marozsan: 57¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Ethan Quinn: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Fabian Marozsan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Fabian Marozsan
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Fabian Marozsan wins the Marozsan vs Quinn professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marozsan vs Quinn professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Ethan Quinn in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Marozsan” if Fabian Marozsan wins the first set. It will resolve to “Quinn” if Ethan Quinn wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
56.5% avg
