Live prediction market odds for Fabian Marozsan vs. Denis Shapovalov. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-16
Fabian Marozsan vs. Denis Shapovalov — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Fabian Marozsan leads the “Fabian Marozsan vs. Denis Shapovalov” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by Denis Shapovalov at 45.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Fabian Marozsan vs. Denis Shapovalov is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fabian Marozsan leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Denis Shapovalov at 46%.
Fabian Marozsan currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Fabian Marozsan, Denis Shapovalov at 46% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fabian Marozsan: 56¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Denis Shapovalov: 45¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Fabian Marozsan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Fabian Marozsan
55.0% avg
