Live prediction market odds for Fabian Marozsan vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Fabian Marozsan vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Fabian Marozsan leads the “Fabian Marozsan vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante” event at 73.8% implied probability, followed by Thiago Agustin Tirante at 26.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Fabian Marozsan vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fabian Marozsan leads at 74% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Thiago Agustin Tirante at 26%.
Fabian Marozsan currently leads at 74% implied probability. Behind Fabian Marozsan, Thiago Agustin Tirante at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fabian Marozsan: 76¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Thiago Agustin Tirante: 25¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ means the market estimates a 74% probability that Fabian Marozsan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 74¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 35% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Fabian Marozsan vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Fabian Marozsan
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the Tirante vs Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tirante vs Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Fabian Marozsan in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
