Live prediction market odds for Federico Bondioli vs. Adam Walton. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-20
Federico Bondioli vs. Adam Walton — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Adam Walton leads the “Federico Bondioli vs. Adam Walton” event at 81.0% implied probability, followed by Federico Bondioli at 20.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Federico Bondioli vs. Adam Walton is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Adam Walton leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Federico Bondioli at 20%.
Adam Walton currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Adam Walton, Federico Bondioli at 20% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Adam Walton: 81¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Federico Bondioli: 21¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that Adam Walton will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Federico Bondioli wins the Walton vs Bondioli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Walton vs Bondioli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Federico Bondioli in the Mallorca Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Adam Walton
81.0% avg
