Live prediction market odds for Federico Cina vs. Gianluca Cadenasso. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Federico Cina vs. Gianluca Cadenasso — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Federico Cina leads the “Federico Cina vs. Gianluca Cadenasso” event at 69.0% implied probability, followed by Gianluca Cadenasso at 30.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Federico Cina vs. Gianluca Cadenasso is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Federico Cina leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Gianluca Cadenasso at 30%.
Federico Cina currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Federico Cina, Gianluca Cadenasso at 30% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Federico Cina: 69¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Gianluca Cadenasso: 30¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Federico Cina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gianluca Cadenasso wins the Cadenasso vs Cina professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cadenasso vs Cina professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Federico Cina in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Federico Cina
69.0% avg
