Live prediction market odds for Federico Cina vs. Hugo Gaston. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Federico Cina vs. Hugo Gaston — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Federico Cina leads the “Federico Cina vs. Hugo Gaston” event at 54.3% implied probability, followed by Hugo Gaston at 47.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Federico Cina vs. Hugo Gaston is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Federico Cina leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hugo Gaston at 47%.
Federico Cina currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Federico Cina, Hugo Gaston at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Federico Cina: 54¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Hugo Gaston: 49¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Federico Cina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hugo Gaston wins the Gaston vs Cina professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gaston vs Cina professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Federico Cina in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Federico Cina
54.3% avg
