Live prediction market odds for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Frances Tiafoe. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-19
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Frances Tiafoe — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Felix Auger-Aliassime leads the “Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Frances Tiafoe” event at 64.0% implied probability, followed by Frances Tiafoe at 37.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Frances Tiafoe is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Felix Auger-Aliassime leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Frances Tiafoe at 37%.
Felix Auger-Aliassime currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind Felix Auger-Aliassime, Frances Tiafoe at 37% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Felix Auger-Aliassime: 65¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Frances Tiafoe: 37¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that Felix Auger-Aliassime will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Frances Tiafoe wins the Tiafoe vs Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tiafoe vs Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
64.0% avg
