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Live prediction market odds for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien

2026-06-17

About This Market

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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Felix Auger-Aliassime leads the “Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Learner Tien at 41.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
FA
Felix Auger-Aliassime
59% Avg
Kalshi60¢
Polymarket59¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
59.5%59¢60¢40¢41¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.5%58¢59¢41¢42¢
LT
Learner Tien
41% Avg
Kalshi41¢
Polymarket42¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
40.5%40¢41¢59¢60¢
PolymarketPolymarket
41.5%41¢42¢58¢59¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien" and why does it matter?

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Felix Auger-Aliassime leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Learner Tien at 42%.

What is moving the odds on "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien"?

Felix Auger-Aliassime currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Felix Auger-Aliassime, Learner Tien at 42% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Felix Auger-Aliassime: 60¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Learner Tien: 41¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Felix Auger-Aliassime is at 59%?

A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Felix Auger-Aliassime will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Market Rulebook: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Learner Tien

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Learner Tien wins the Tien vs Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Tien vs Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Felix Auger-Aliassime

59.0% avg