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Live prediction market odds for Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan

2026-05-20

About This Market

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Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Alex Molcan leads the “Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan” event at 86.8% implied probability, followed by Felix Gill at 14.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
AM
Alex Molcan
86% Avg
Kalshi87¢
Polymarket87¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
84.5%82¢87¢13¢18¢
PolymarketPolymarket
86.5%86¢87¢13¢14¢
FG
Felix Gill
14% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
13.5%11¢16¢84¢89¢
PolymarketPolymarket
13.5%13¢14¢86¢87¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan" and why does it matter?

Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Molcan leads at 87% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Felix Gill at 14%.

What is moving the odds on "Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan"?

Alex Molcan currently leads at 87% implied probability. Behind Alex Molcan, Felix Gill at 14% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Molcan: 87¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket. Felix Gill: 15¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Alex Molcan is at 87%?

A price of 87¢ means the market estimates a 87% probability that Alex Molcan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 87¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 15% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Felix Gill vs. Alex Molcan

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alex Molcan wins the Molcan vs Gill professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Molcan vs Gill professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Felix Gill in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Felix Gill. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Alex Molcan

86.8% avg