Live prediction market odds for Felix Gill vs. Aziz Dougaz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-19
This market resolved on 2026-05-19. Felix Gill was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Felix Gill vs. Aziz Dougaz — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-05-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Felix GillWINNER | 99% | 77% |
Aziz Dougaz | 1% | 24% |
Felix Gill vs. Aziz Dougaz was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Felix Gill led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Aziz Dougaz at 12%.
Felix Gill held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Felix Gill, Aziz Dougaz at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Felix Gill: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Aziz Dougaz: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Felix Gill would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Felix Gill vs. Aziz Dougaz” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Aziz Dougaz wins the Dougaz vs Gill professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dougaz vs Gill professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Felix Gill in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Felix Gill. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Felix Gill
87.8% avg
