Live prediction market odds for Felix Gill vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Felix Gill vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Rafael Jodar leads the “Felix Gill vs. Rafael Jodar” event at 81.5% implied probability, followed by Felix Gill at 19.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Felix Gill vs. Rafael Jodar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar leads at 82% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Felix Gill at 19%.
Rafael Jodar currently leads at 82% implied probability. Behind Rafael Jodar, Felix Gill at 19% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 82¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Felix Gill: 19¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 82¢ means the market estimates a 82% probability that Rafael Jodar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 82¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 22% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Rafael Jodar
81.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Rafael Jodar wins the Jodar vs Gill professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jodar vs Gill professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Felix Gill in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Felix Gill. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
