Live prediction market odds for Flavio Cobolli vs. Matteo Arnaldi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-05
Flavio Cobolli vs. Matteo Arnaldi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Flavio Cobolli leads the “Flavio Cobolli vs. Matteo Arnaldi” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Matteo Arnaldi at 41.0%. A 16.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Flavio Cobolli vs. Matteo Arnaldi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Flavio Cobolli leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matteo Arnaldi at 41%.
Flavio Cobolli currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Flavio Cobolli, Matteo Arnaldi at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Flavio Cobolli: 67¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Arnaldi: 33¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Flavio Cobolli will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Flavio Cobolli wins the Arnaldi vs Cobolli professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arnaldi vs Cobolli professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Flavio Cobolli in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Flavio Cobolli
59.0% avg
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli