Live prediction market odds for Frances Tiafoe vs. Jaime Faria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-30
Frances Tiafoe vs. Jaime Faria — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Frances Tiafoe leads the “Frances Tiafoe vs. Jaime Faria” event at 59.5% implied probability, followed by Jaime Faria at 40.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Jaime Faria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Frances Tiafoe leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jaime Faria at 41%.
Frances Tiafoe currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Frances Tiafoe, Jaime Faria at 41% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Frances Tiafoe: 60¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Jaime Faria: 40¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Frances Tiafoe will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Frances Tiafoe wins the Faria vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Faria vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Frances Tiafoe in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frances Tiafoe
59.5% avg
