Live prediction market odds for Frances Tiafoe vs. Rinky Hijikata. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Frances Tiafoe vs. Rinky Hijikata — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Frances Tiafoe leads the “Frances Tiafoe vs. Rinky Hijikata” event at 78.3% implied probability, followed by Rinky Hijikata at 21.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Rinky Hijikata is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Frances Tiafoe leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Rinky Hijikata at 22%.
Frances Tiafoe currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Frances Tiafoe, Rinky Hijikata at 22% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Frances Tiafoe: 78¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Rinky Hijikata: 22¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Frances Tiafoe will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Frances Tiafoe
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Frances Tiafoe wins the Hijikata vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Hijikata vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Frances Tiafoe in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
