Live prediction market odds for Francesco Maestrelli vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-20
This market resolved on 2026-04-20. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Francesco Maestrelli vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-20. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Nicolai Budkov KjaerWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Francesco Maestrelli | 1% | 0% |
Francesco Maestrelli vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Francesco Maestrelli at 1%.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Francesco Maestrelli at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Francesco Maestrelli: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nicolai Budkov Kjaer wins the Budkov Kjaer vs Maestrelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Budkov Kjaer vs Maestrelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Francesco Maestrelli in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kjaer” if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer wins the first set. It will resolve to “Maestrelli” if Francesco Maestrelli wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
