Live prediction market odds for Francisco Comesana vs. Tomas Machac. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Francisco Comesana vs. Tomas Machac — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tomas Machac leads the “Francisco Comesana vs. Tomas Machac” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by Francisco Comesana at 45.8%. A 25.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Francisco Comesana vs. Tomas Machac is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tomas Machac leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Francisco Comesana at 46%.
Tomas Machac currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Tomas Machac, Francisco Comesana at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 25.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tomas Machac: 67¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Francisco Comesana: 34¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. The 25.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Tomas Machac will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tomas Machac
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tomas Machac wins the Machac vs Comesana professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Machac vs Comesana professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Francisco Comesana in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Machac" if Tomas Machac wins by 2 or more sets than Francisco Comesana, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Comesana." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
54.5% avg
