Live prediction market odds for Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-15
This market resolved on 2026-04-15. Alexander Zverev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexander ZverevWINNER | 99% | 90% |
Gabriel Diallo | 1% | 10% |
Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexander Zverev led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Gabriel Diallo at 6%.
Alexander Zverev held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexander Zverev, Gabriel Diallo at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexander Zverev: 99¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Gabriel Diallo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Alexander Zverev would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexander Zverev wins the Zverev vs Diallo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Zverev vs Diallo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Gabriel Diallo in the BMW Open, originally scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexander Zverev
94.5% avg
