Live prediction market odds for Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-16
This market resolved on 2026-04-16. Alexander Zverev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexander ZverevWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Gabriel Diallo | 1% | 0% |
Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexander Zverev led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Gabriel Diallo at 1%.
Alexander Zverev held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexander Zverev, Gabriel Diallo at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexander Zverev: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Gabriel Diallo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Alexander Zverev would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Gabriel Diallo vs. Alexander Zverev” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Alexander Zverev
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gabriel Diallo wins the Zverev vs Diallo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Zverev vs Diallo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Gabriel Diallo in the BMW Open, originally scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Zverev” if Alexander Zverev wins the first set. It will resolve to “Diallo” if Gabriel Diallo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
