Live prediction market odds for Gabriel Diallo vs. Jack Draper. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Gabriel Diallo vs. Jack Draper — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jack Draper leads the “Gabriel Diallo vs. Jack Draper” event at 70.5% implied probability, followed by Gabriel Diallo at 30.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Gabriel Diallo vs. Jack Draper is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jack Draper leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Gabriel Diallo at 31%.
Jack Draper currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Jack Draper, Gabriel Diallo at 31% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jack Draper: 71¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Gabriel Diallo: 31¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Jack Draper will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Jack Draper
70.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gabriel Diallo wins the Draper vs Diallo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Draper vs Diallo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jack Draper and Gabriel Diallo in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Draper' if Jack Draper advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Jack Draper. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
