Live prediction market odds for Gabriel Diallo vs. Joao Fonseca. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-06
Gabriel Diallo vs. Joao Fonseca — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Joao Fonseca leads the “Gabriel Diallo vs. Joao Fonseca” event at 73.3% implied probability, followed by Gabriel Diallo at 26.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Gabriel Diallo vs. Joao Fonseca is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Joao Fonseca leads at 73% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Gabriel Diallo at 27%.
Joao Fonseca currently leads at 73% implied probability. Behind Joao Fonseca, Gabriel Diallo at 27% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Joao Fonseca: 73¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Gabriel Diallo: 27¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 73¢ means the market estimates a 73% probability that Joao Fonseca will be the outcome. Buying one share at 73¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 37% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Gabriel Diallo vs. Joao Fonseca” event. All for free.
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Joao Fonseca
73.3% avg
