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Live prediction market odds for Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Darwin Blanch Wins: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch

Resolved 2026-03-29

This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Darwin Blanch was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Darwin BlanchWINNER
99%100%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
1%0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch" and why did it matter?

Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Darwin Blanch led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Genaro Alberto Olivieri at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch"?

Darwin Blanch held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Darwin Blanch, Genaro Alberto Olivieri at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Darwin Blanch: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Genaro Alberto Olivieri: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Darwin Blanch mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Darwin Blanch would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Darwin Blanch

99.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Darwin Blanch

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Genaro Alberto Olivieri wins the Blanch vs Olivieri professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Blanch vs Olivieri professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 2026. This market will resolve to “Blanch” if Darwin Blanch wins the first set. It will resolve to “Olivieri” if Genaro Alberto Olivieri wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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