Live prediction market odds for Grigor Dimitrov vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-23
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Grigor Dimitrov leads the “Grigor Dimitrov vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo” event at 52.5% implied probability, followed by Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 48.3%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Grigor Dimitrov leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 48%.
Grigor Dimitrov currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Grigor Dimitrov, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Grigor Dimitrov: 54¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 48¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Grigor Dimitrov will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Grigor Dimitrov wins the Vallejo vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallejo vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Grigor Dimitrov in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Grigor Dimitrov. This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Grigor Dimitrov
52.5% avg
