Live prediction market odds for Grigor Dimitrov vs. Marc Polmans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-23
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Marc Polmans — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Grigor Dimitrov leads the “Grigor Dimitrov vs. Marc Polmans” event at 85.5% implied probability, followed by Marc Polmans at 15.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Marc Polmans is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Grigor Dimitrov leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marc Polmans at 15%.
Grigor Dimitrov currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Grigor Dimitrov, Marc Polmans at 15% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Grigor Dimitrov: 86¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket. Marc Polmans: 15¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 86¢ means the market estimates a 86% probability that Grigor Dimitrov will be the outcome. Buying one share at 86¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 16% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Grigor Dimitrov wins the Polmans vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Polmans vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Marc Polmans and Grigor Dimitrov in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marc Polmans' if Marc Polmans advances against Grigor Dimitrov. This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Marc Polmans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Grigor Dimitrov
85.5% avg
