Live prediction market odds for Gustavo Heide vs. Nicolas Mejia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Gustavo Heide vs. Nicolas Mejia — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Gustavo Heide leads the “Gustavo Heide vs. Nicolas Mejia” event at 65.5% implied probability, followed by Nicolas Mejia at 35.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Gustavo Heide vs. Nicolas Mejia is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Gustavo Heide leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nicolas Mejia at 36%.
Gustavo Heide currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Gustavo Heide, Nicolas Mejia at 36% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Gustavo Heide: 65¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Nicolas Mejia: 37¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Gustavo Heide will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gustavo Heide wins the Mejia vs Heide professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mejia vs Heide professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Gustavo Heide in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Gustavo Heide. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Nicolas Mejia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Gustavo Heide
65.5% avg
