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Live prediction market odds for Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev

2026-04-18

About This Market

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Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Andrey Rublev leads the “Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev” event at 61.0% implied probability, followed by Hamad Medjedovic at 39.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
AR
Andrey Rublev
61% Avg
Kalshi61¢
Polymarket61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
60.5%60¢61¢39¢40¢
PolymarketPolymarket
60.5%60¢61¢39¢40¢
HM
Hamad Medjedovic
40% Avg
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
39.5%39¢40¢60¢61¢
PolymarketPolymarket
39.5%39¢40¢60¢61¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev" and why does it matter?

Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andrey Rublev leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hamad Medjedovic at 40%.

What is moving the odds on "Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev"?

Andrey Rublev currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Andrey Rublev, Hamad Medjedovic at 40% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Andrey Rublev: 61¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Hamad Medjedovic: 40¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Andrey Rublev is at 61%?

A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Andrey Rublev will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Hamad Medjedovic vs. Andrey Rublev

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Hamad Medjedovic wins the Rublev vs Medjedovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Rublev vs Medjedovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Hamad Medjedovic in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Andrey Rublev

61.0% avg