Live prediction market odds for Harold Mayot vs. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Harold Mayot vs. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Harold Mayot leads the “Harold Mayot vs. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran” event at 65.8% implied probability, followed by Nicolas Moreno De Alboran at 34.5%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Harold Mayot vs. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Harold Mayot leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nicolas Moreno De Alboran at 35%.
Harold Mayot currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Harold Mayot, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran at 35% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Harold Mayot: 67¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: 34¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Harold Mayot will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nicolas Moreno de Alboran wins the Moreno de Alboran vs Mayot professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Moreno de Alboran vs Mayot professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Harold Mayot in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Moreno De Alboran' if Nicolas Moreno De Alboran advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Nicolas Moreno De Alboran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Harold Mayot
65.8% avg
