Live prediction market odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs. Jaime Faria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Jaime Faria — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Hubert Hurkacz leads the “Hubert Hurkacz vs. Jaime Faria” event at 68.5% implied probability, followed by Jaime Faria at 31.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Jaime Faria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hubert Hurkacz leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jaime Faria at 31%.
Hubert Hurkacz currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Hubert Hurkacz, Jaime Faria at 31% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hubert Hurkacz: 68¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Jaime Faria: 31¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Hubert Hurkacz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jaime Faria wins the Faria vs Hurkacz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Faria vs Hurkacz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Hubert Hurkacz in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hubert Hurkacz
68.5% avg
