Live prediction market odds for Hugo Dellien vs. Roberto Carballes Baena. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-22
Hugo Dellien vs. Roberto Carballes Baena — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Hugo Dellien leads the “Hugo Dellien vs. Roberto Carballes Baena” event at 59.8% implied probability, followed by Roberto Carballes Baena at 41.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Hugo Dellien vs. Roberto Carballes Baena is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hugo Dellien leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Roberto Carballes Baena at 41%.
Hugo Dellien currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Hugo Dellien, Roberto Carballes Baena at 41% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hugo Dellien: 60¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Roberto Carballes Baena: 42¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Hugo Dellien will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hugo Dellien wins the Carballes Baena vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Carballes Baena vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Hugo Dellien in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hugo Dellien
59.8% avg
