Live prediction market odds for Hugo Gaston vs. Luca Van Assche. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Hugo Gaston vs. Luca Van Assche — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Hugo Gaston leads the “Hugo Gaston vs. Luca Van Assche” event at 51.8% implied probability, followed by Luca Van Assche at 59.8%. A 25.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Hugo Gaston vs. Luca Van Assche is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hugo Gaston leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luca Van Assche at 60%.
Hugo Gaston currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Hugo Gaston, Luca Van Assche at 60% are the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hugo Gaston: 51¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Luca Van Assche: 73¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Hugo Gaston will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Hugo Gaston
51.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hugo Gaston wins the Van Assche vs Gaston professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Van Assche vs Gaston professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Hugo Gaston in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Luca Van Assche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
