Live prediction market odds for Hugo Grenier vs. Dusan Lajovic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Hugo Grenier vs. Dusan Lajovic — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Dusan Lajovic leads the “Hugo Grenier vs. Dusan Lajovic” event at 67.8% implied probability, followed by Hugo Grenier at 30.8%. A 15.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Hugo Grenier vs. Dusan Lajovic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dusan Lajovic leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hugo Grenier at 31%.
Dusan Lajovic currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Dusan Lajovic, Hugo Grenier at 31% are the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dusan Lajovic: 74¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Hugo Grenier: 23¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 15.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Dusan Lajovic will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Dusan Lajovic
67.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hugo Grenier wins the Lajovic vs Grenier professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Lajovic vs Grenier professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Dusan Lajovic and Hugo Grenier in the Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Hugo Grenier. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Dusan Lajovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
