Live prediction market odds for Hugo Nys vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Hugo Nys vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Juan Manuel CerundoloWINNER | 100% | 96% |
Hugo Nys | 1% | 4% |
Hugo Nys vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Juan Manuel Cerundolo led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Hugo Nys at 2%.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Hugo Nys at 2% were the next closest contenders. The 3.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 100¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. Hugo Nys: 1¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Juan Manuel Cerundolo would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the Cerundolo vs Nys professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cerundolo vs Nys professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Hugo Nys in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 4 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Hugo Nys. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Nys' if Hugo Nys advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
98.0% avg
