Live prediction market odds for Hynek Barton vs. Marco Trungelliti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Hynek Barton vs. Marco Trungelliti — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marco Trungelliti leads the “Hynek Barton vs. Marco Trungelliti” event at 58.8% implied probability, followed by Hynek Barton at 41.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Hynek Barton vs. Marco Trungelliti is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marco Trungelliti leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hynek Barton at 42%.
Marco Trungelliti currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Marco Trungelliti, Hynek Barton at 42% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marco Trungelliti: 59¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Hynek Barton: 42¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Marco Trungelliti will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Marco Trungelliti
58.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hynek Barton wins the Trungelliti vs Barton professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Trungelliti vs Barton professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Hynek Barton in the Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Hynek Barton. This market will resolve to 'Hynek Barton' if Hynek Barton advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
