Live prediction market odds for Ignacio Buse vs. Arthur Fils. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-24
Ignacio Buse vs. Arthur Fils — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Fils leads the “Ignacio Buse vs. Arthur Fils” event at 85.5% implied probability, followed by Ignacio Buse at 16.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Ignacio Buse vs. Arthur Fils is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Fils leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ignacio Buse at 16%.
Arthur Fils currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Arthur Fils, Ignacio Buse at 16% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Fils: 86¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket. Ignacio Buse: 17¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 86¢ means the market estimates a 86% probability that Arthur Fils will be the outcome. Buying one share at 86¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 16% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Arthur Fils
85.5% avg
