Live prediction market odds for Ignacio Buse vs. Lorenzo Sonego. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-06
Ignacio Buse vs. Lorenzo Sonego — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ignacio Buse leads the “Ignacio Buse vs. Lorenzo Sonego” event at 60.0% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Sonego at 40.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Ignacio Buse vs. Lorenzo Sonego is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ignacio Buse leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Sonego at 40%.
Ignacio Buse currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Ignacio Buse, Lorenzo Sonego at 40% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ignacio Buse: 60¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Sonego: 40¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Ignacio Buse will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Ignacio Buse
60.0% avg
