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Live prediction market odds for Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima

2026-06-22

About This Market

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Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Brandon Nakashima leads the “Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by Jack Draper at 45.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
BN
Brandon Nakashima
55% Avg
Kalshi56¢
Polymarket55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
55.0%54¢56¢44¢46¢
PolymarketPolymarket
54.5%54¢55¢45¢46¢
JD
Jack Draper
45% Avg
Kalshi46¢
Polymarket46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
45.0%44¢46¢54¢56¢
PolymarketPolymarket
45.5%45¢46¢54¢55¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima" and why does it matter?

Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Brandon Nakashima leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jack Draper at 46%.

What is moving the odds on "Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima"?

Brandon Nakashima currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Brandon Nakashima, Jack Draper at 46% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Brandon Nakashima: 56¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Jack Draper: 46¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Brandon Nakashima is at 56%?

A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Brandon Nakashima will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats

Market Rulebook: Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jack Draper wins the Nakashima vs Draper professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Nakashima vs Draper professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jack Draper in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Jack Draper. This market will resolve to 'Jack Draper' if Jack Draper advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Brandon Nakashima

55.5% avg