Live prediction market odds for Jacob Fearnley vs. Alex Michelsen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Jacob Fearnley vs. Alex Michelsen — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alex Michelsen leads the “Jacob Fearnley vs. Alex Michelsen” event at 53.8% implied probability, followed by Jacob Fearnley at 46.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Jacob Fearnley vs. Alex Michelsen is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Michelsen leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jacob Fearnley at 46%.
Alex Michelsen currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Alex Michelsen, Jacob Fearnley at 46% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Michelsen: 54¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Jacob Fearnley: 46¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Alex Michelsen will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Alex Michelsen
53.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jacob Fearnley wins the Michelsen vs Fearnley professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Michelsen vs Fearnley professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
