Live prediction market odds for Jacob Fearnley vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-23
Jacob Fearnley vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jacob Fearnley leads the “Jacob Fearnley vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante” event at 65.5% implied probability, followed by Thiago Agustin Tirante at 34.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jacob Fearnley vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jacob Fearnley leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Thiago Agustin Tirante at 35%.
Jacob Fearnley currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Jacob Fearnley, Thiago Agustin Tirante at 35% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jacob Fearnley: 67¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Thiago Agustin Tirante: 33¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Jacob Fearnley will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jacob Fearnley wins the Tirante vs Fearnley professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tirante vs Fearnley professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jacob Fearnley in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jacob Fearnley
65.5% avg
