Live prediction market odds for Jaime Faria vs. Sho Shimabukuro. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Jaime Faria vs. Sho Shimabukuro — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Sho Shimabukuro leads the “Jaime Faria vs. Sho Shimabukuro” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by Jaime Faria at 47.8%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jaime Faria vs. Sho Shimabukuro is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sho Shimabukuro leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jaime Faria at 48%.
Sho Shimabukuro currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Sho Shimabukuro, Jaime Faria at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sho Shimabukuro: 55¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Jaime Faria: 46¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Sho Shimabukuro will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Sho Shimabukuro
52.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sho Shimabukuro wins the Shimabukuro vs Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Shimabukuro vs Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Jaime Faria in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
