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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 2.5% // +$250.00

Live prediction market odds for Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone

2026-05-27

About This Market

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Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-27. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Jakub Mensik leads the “Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone” event at 56.8% implied probability, followed by Mariano Navone at 42.3%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
JM
Jakub MensikARB
57% Avg
Kalshi56¢
Polymarket58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
55.5%55¢56¢44¢45¢
PolymarketPolymarket
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
MN
Mariano Navone
43% Avg
Kalshi43¢
Polymarket43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone" and why does it matter?

Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jakub Mensik leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mariano Navone at 42%.

What is moving the odds on "Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone"?

Jakub Mensik currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Jakub Mensik, Mariano Navone at 42% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jakub Mensik: 56¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Mariano Navone: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Jakub Mensik is at 57%?

A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Jakub Mensik will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Market Rulebook: Jakub Mensik vs. Mariano Navone

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jakub Mensik wins the Navone vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Navone vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Jakub Mensik in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread
2.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Jakub Mensik

56.8% avg

No price history available