Live prediction market odds for Jan Choinski vs. Taylor Fritz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Jan Choinski vs. Taylor Fritz — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Taylor Fritz leads the “Jan Choinski vs. Taylor Fritz” event at 84.0% implied probability, followed by Jan Choinski at 17.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jan Choinski vs. Taylor Fritz is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Taylor Fritz leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jan Choinski at 17%.
Taylor Fritz currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Taylor Fritz, Jan Choinski at 17% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Taylor Fritz: 85¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Jan Choinski: 17¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 84¢ means the market estimates a 84% probability that Taylor Fritz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 84¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 19% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Taylor Fritz wins the Fritz vs Choinski professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fritz vs Choinski professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Jan Choinski in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Jan Choinski. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Taylor Fritz
84.0% avg
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Lexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski