Live prediction market odds for Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Alexandre Muller. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Alexandre Muller — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexandre Muller leads the “Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Alexandre Muller” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by Jan-Lennard Struff at 46.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Alexandre Muller is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexandre Muller leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jan-Lennard Struff at 47%.
Alexandre Muller currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Alexandre Muller, Jan-Lennard Struff at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexandre Muller: 55¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Jan-Lennard Struff: 47¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Alexandre Muller will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexandre Muller wins the Muller vs Struff professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Muller vs Struff professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Alexandre Muller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexandre Muller
54.5% avg
