Live prediction market odds for Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-12
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Carlos Alcaraz leads the “Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz” event at 51.8% implied probability, followed by Jannik Sinner at 48.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Carlos Alcaraz leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jannik Sinner at 48%.
Carlos Alcaraz currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner at 48% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Carlos Alcaraz: 52¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Jannik Sinner: 48¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Carlos Alcaraz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Carlos Alcaraz
51.8% avg
