Live prediction market odds for Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-10
This market resolved on 2026-04-10. Jannik Sinner was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jannik SinnerWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Felix Auger-Aliassime | 1% | 10% |
Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jannik Sinner led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Felix Auger-Aliassime at 5%.
Jannik Sinner held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jannik Sinner, Felix Auger-Aliassime at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jannik Sinner: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Felix Auger-Aliassime: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Jannik Sinner would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Felix Auger-Aliassime wins the Auger-Aliassime vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Auger-Aliassime vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jannik Sinner in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 10 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jannik Sinner
94.8% avg
