Live prediction market odds for Jannik Sinner vs. Tomas Machac. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-09
Jannik Sinner vs. Tomas Machac — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jannik Sinner leads the “Jannik Sinner vs. Tomas Machac” event at 95.5% implied probability, followed by Tomas Machac at 4.8%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jannik Sinner vs. Tomas Machac is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jannik Sinner leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tomas Machac at 5%.
Jannik Sinner currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Jannik Sinner, Tomas Machac at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jannik Sinner: 97¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket. Tomas Machac: 4¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 96¢ means the market estimates a 96% probability that Jannik Sinner will be the outcome. Buying one share at 96¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 4% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jannik Sinner wins the Machac vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Machac vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Jannik Sinner in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 9 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jannik Sinner
95.5% avg
