Live prediction market odds for Jaume Munar vs. Mariano Navone. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-21
Jaume Munar vs. Mariano Navone — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mariano Navone leads the “Jaume Munar vs. Mariano Navone” event at 53.5% implied probability, followed by Jaume Munar at 47.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Jaume Munar vs. Mariano Navone is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mariano Navone leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jaume Munar at 47%.
Mariano Navone currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Mariano Navone, Jaume Munar at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mariano Navone: 54¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Jaume Munar: 47¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Mariano Navone will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mariano Navone wins the Navone vs Munar professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Geneva Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Navone vs Munar professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Geneva Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Jaume Munar in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mariano Navone
53.5% avg
