Live prediction market odds for Jaume Munar vs. Matteo Arnaldi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-06
Jaume Munar vs. Matteo Arnaldi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Matteo Arnaldi leads the “Jaume Munar vs. Matteo Arnaldi” event at 57.0% implied probability, followed by Jaume Munar at 43.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Jaume Munar vs. Matteo Arnaldi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Matteo Arnaldi leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jaume Munar at 44%.
Matteo Arnaldi currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Matteo Arnaldi, Jaume Munar at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Matteo Arnaldi: 57¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Jaume Munar: 44¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Matteo Arnaldi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Matteo Arnaldi
57.0% avg
