Live prediction market odds for Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alex Molcan leads the “Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan” event at 83.0% implied probability, followed by Jay Clarke at 16.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Molcan leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jay Clarke at 17%.
Alex Molcan currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Alex Molcan, Jay Clarke at 17% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Molcan: 85¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Jay Clarke: 14¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ means the market estimates a 83% probability that Alex Molcan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 83¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 20% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Alex Molcan
83.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jay Clarke wins the Molcan vs Clarke professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Molcan vs Clarke professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Jay Clarke in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 31 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Jay Clarke. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
