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Live prediction market odds for Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta

2026-05-24

About This Market

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Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Jiri Lehecka leads the “Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta” event at 76.8% implied probability, followed by Pablo Carreno Busta at 24.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
JL
Jiri Lehecka
76% Avg
Kalshi77¢
Polymarket77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
PC
Pablo Carreno Busta
24% Avg
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta" and why does it matter?

Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jiri Lehecka leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pablo Carreno Busta at 24%.

What is moving the odds on "Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta"?

Jiri Lehecka currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Jiri Lehecka, Pablo Carreno Busta at 24% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jiri Lehecka: 77¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Pablo Carreno Busta: 25¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Jiri Lehecka is at 77%?

A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Jiri Lehecka will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Jiri Lehecka vs. Pablo Carreno Busta

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jiri Lehecka wins the Carreno Busta vs Lehecka professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Carreno Busta vs Lehecka professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Jiri Lehecka in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jiri Lehecka. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Jiri Lehecka

76.8% avg